一、Cost-benefit criteria
1. Type of economics
- Positive economics 实证经济学: what it is/was/will be
- Normative economics 规范经济学: what ought to be
- Cost-benefit analysis is both positive economics and normative economics
- The system of measurement is anthropocentric(人类中心主义).This means that all benefits and costs are valued in terms of their effects on humanity.
2. Types of cost-benefit analysis
- Prospective analysis 展望性
- Conducted before a policy has been in place
- Purposes:1)determine if a decision is beneficial;2) compare multiple options.
- Retrospective analysis 回顾性
- Conducted after a policy has been in place for some time.
- Purpose:1)identify opportunities for policy reform, by evaluating whether existing policies are justified【检测政策是否合理,能否改进】;2)provide insights into the accuracy of prospective cost-benefit analysis and identify ways to improve future analyses.【对预期成本效益分析的准确性提供见解,并确定改进未来分析的方法。】
3. Cost-benefit criteria
- Net benefit = Benefit – Cost.
【 Net benefit > 0 ⇒ 意味着存在潜在的Pareto improvement可能】
- Benefit-cost ratio = Benefit / Cost
【Ratio > 1 ⇒ Potential Pareto improvement】
- Internal rate of return (IRR) 内部收益率:使得项目贴现后的当期收益为0,表现的是这个项目如果等同为资本储蓄的利率。如果IRR>当期利率,则认为可行
Net benefit vs benefit-cost ratio
- 没有哪种标准是一定更优的
- If there is no budget constraint (or constraint > $2000), you may choose net benefit criterion
- If budget constraint < $2000, you may want to choose benefit-cost ratio criterion
4. Net benefit in dynamic context